Fall Of Kismayo, TGS In Addis Ababa, Crumbling ARS And Puntland Somalia Under Spotlight
As i promised to my readers, this analysis will enlighten the true situation inside Somalia and Somaliland, the fall and rise in the horn of Africa in addition to foreign hands in Somali Affairs.
Many Somalis, mainly from fake state "Puntland", call Somaliland secessionist state and accuse Somaliland for dividing the failed state of Somalia; they accuse Somaliland for failing the unity of greater Somalia; they accelerated their hate after Somaliland Military secured its borders in the east with Somalia. However, "Puntland" supports the leaders of Transitional Government of Somalia (TGS) in Mogadishu who kills the innocent people and also led the Ethiopian invasion.
The human trafficking and Hijacking the International Vessels and Aid Workers is best business in fake state of "Puntland".
Moreover, the Al-Shabab and remaining of Islamic Courts Union (ICU) captured the port city of Kismayo in Jubbada Hoose Region from Warlord Barre Hiirale. The question is, Will Islamist resist the Ethiopian Forces and rule the city? Hassan Turki, leader in Islamists in Kismayo, is referred as Mad Mullah Junior by many Somalis.
ARS disintegrated into two groups led by Sheikh Aweys and Sheikh Sharif Ahmed and Islamist fighters in Somalia disown both leaders. The analysis focuses the below points:
I. Fall of Kismayo to Al-Shabab and Islamic Courts
II. The reunite of Mad Mulla
III. Crumbling ARS and Djibouti Peace Deal
IV. TGS bridges the gap in Addis Ababa, you will want to in Mogadishu?
V. Puntland and hijacking business
VI. Somaliland? A hostage for failed Somalia
I. Fall of Kismayo to Al-Shabab and Islamic Courts
KISMAYO City was small village used by fishermen mainly the Bajun tribes of Somalia; the town is situated on Indian Ocean. The Sultanate of Zanzibar came in Kismayo on 1872 and passed to The uk in 1887 and Italia took over on 1924. Than the other Somali tribes started moving into Kismayo.
Ogaden tribe emigrated from Kenya as a result of starvation and bad weather as well as fighting between Ogaden subtribes in the Northern Frontier Districts of Kenya. There is little water while the area is semi desert. Also, Mareehaan of Darod and Cayr of Hawiye occupied the city very recently and call themselves as Brothers of Galguduud (Walalaha Galguduud). Galguduud is region in central Somalia dominated by Mareehaan and Cayr tribes.
Kismayo attracted aforesaid tribes due to its beautiful and green nature; the three tribes killed and displaced the Bajun tribes, forcing them to relocate to other regions in Somalia. Bajun are Somalis with African origin, as other major Somali tribes are Arab descendants. All Kismayo warlords are neither Kismayo sons nor born in Kismayo.
Today, the city is under Islamist control after terminating warlord Barre Hirale of Mareehaan tribe. The fighters instated Islamic rule in the city similar to that of Taliban in Afghanistan, which restricts the non-public freedom.
The Islamist appointed administration council to perform the neighborhood affairs of the city led by Islamist from Hargiesa, Somaliland. This is in order to avoid tribalism, win local support and downgrade Somaliland as a fundamental element of Somaliland. Warlords Xasan Turki, Maxamad Saciid Xirsi Morgan, Cabdurazaq Afguduud, Barre Hirale and Seeraar are warlords in Kismayo starting from late Siyad Barre Administration in 1991.
Turki uses religion as shield to achieve personal interest among others use tribalism as tool to achieve their personal interest.
Morgan, Afguduud, Hirale and Seeraar support TGS Warlord Abdullah Yusuf (Known Butcher of Mogadishu) simply because they mainly fit in with Darod tribe. Morgan was General in Somalia Army Forces and committed genocide in Hargiesa on 1988. He is wanted in Somaliland for such killings. Morgan, who is practicing beard, tried to participate the ICU in 2006 but did not adjust with lifestyle of the Islamist.
The Ethiopians and TGS are getting ready to take back Kismayo from the Islamist, and Islamists are getting ready to defend the city. The civilians moved from the city because of danger.
II. The reunite of Mad Mulla
In 1899 Mad Mullah, Mohamed bin Abdullah Hassan declared a Jihad on Somaliland and led the Somaliland-British forces to dismiss Hasan as a religious fanatic, calling him the "Mad Mullah. " and drove his forces into dust. However, his get back was noticed in Kismayo. His grandson follows his footsteps, calling Somaliland as land of "Kefirs", just as Mad Mullah Sr. did in 19th century. The grandson considers his warrior the Mad Mullah as father of recent Somalia, unofficially.
Sheikh Hasan Hersi "Turki", "the grandson and Mad Mullah Jr. " describes himself as liberator of Kismayo and future warrior, that will drive the kefirs out of Somaliland (Kefir means unbelievers; Senior Mad Mullah described Somalilanders as Kefirs). The media reported the warlord of Kismayo, Barre Hirale fled without major resistance against ousted Islamist militia. The Grandson, many times highlighted his willingness to combat Somalilanders within their homeland. Nevertheless the question remains unanswered! Will that he defeat Somalilanders inside Somaliland or he can follow the footsteps of his lost grandfather??
Today, Mad Mullah Jr. in middle of Islamists wants to reprint the black pages of his grandfather? s history, as that he applies, the same ideology of using religion to achieve his personal and tribal achievements. The junior is going to be defeated the same as his grandfather, the Mad Mullah Sr.
The conservative Sufi leader Sheikh Muhammad Abdullah Hassan as "the Mad Mullah, " though that he was neither mad nor a mullah (traditional religious scholar); he considered him self as angel, who'll save Somalia from attacks of kefirs. The literature of Sufism that started to be manufactured in the tenth century CE employed the term Sufi in a deliberate and self-conscious fashion to orchestrate the ethical and mystical goals of the growing movement in a prescriptive fashion.
The Mad Mullah Sr. who armed his tribesmen and cronies could not win support of Somalilanders as they were more educated than rest of Somalia; they rejected his campaign against Britain. UK signed an agreement with Somaliland and stayed in Somaliland based on these predefined terms and conditions. Both sides Somalilanders and UK government respected the agreement, which led UK to leave Somaliland peacefully in 1960 without bloodshed. These agreements are kept in Somaliland Museums as a part of Somaliland history.
At end of Mad Mullah Sr., UK-Somaliland coalition started bombing the Mullah and his tribesman that resulted the conclusion of his era. The Mad Mulla couldn't bear the sound of the aircrafts used against him and fled to unknown.
III. Crumbling ARS and Djibouti Peace Deal
After Ethiopians ousted the Islamic Courts Union in 2006, The Islamists seek support of Eritrea and established their office in Asmara to handheld remote control their fighters inside Somalia against Ethiopia. Eritrea supplies full support to fail the original foe -Ethiopia. The Islamists established Alliance for Re-liberation of Somalia (ARS) on 2007.
The Warlords like Hussein Aideed joined ARS, which led many fighters in Mogadishu to disown ARS including Sheikh Sharif and Sheikh Aweys. The state Spokesman of Al-Shabab Abu Mansour officially announced the disintegration of Al-Shabab from ARS. It was beginning of ARS disintegration.
Apparently, Sheikhs Sharif and Aways lost the credibility and support of the people of Somalia once they entered the politics. According to Somali Culture, Religion and Politics cannot share under single roof. Sheikh Sharif and Sheikh Aweys even disagreed over political issues which resulted in the disintegration of ARS into two wings: Djibouti and Asmara Wings. Also, the constant interference of Asmara regime in ARS affairs angered Sheikh Sharif.
Because of the disagreement and nosiness of Asmara regime in ARS affairs led Sheikh Sharif to shift his office to Djibouti. Somali websites reported that Sheikh Sharif took all official stamps of ARS with no knowledge of Executive Committee of ARS including Sheikh Aweys. This enabled Sheikh Sharif to sign agreements with TGS in Djibouti without consulting ARS members in Asmara and having admiration between the Islamist fighters.
Djibouti Peace Deal involving the TGS Prime Minister Nur Adde and Sheikh Sharif has increased the big difference between Sharif and Aweys. Sharif conditioned Ethiopian withdrawal from all Somali areas in the agreement.
Moreover, TGS President Abdullah Yousuf disliked the peace deal and even asked the parliament to "Vote on No Confidence" for Nur Adde government. Ethiopia and the Western governments welcomed the offer but unfortunately the offer failed as a result of Sherif inability to manage the Islamist in Mogadishu.
This unveiled to the international communities that neither Sheikh Sharif nor Sheikh Aweys can influence the Islamist fighters inside Mogadishu. Recently, Hassan Turki? The Mad Mulla Junior in Kismayo? asked both Sheikhs to fear Allah the Almighty and clean their souls from the dirty politics.
Today, the ability isn? t in the hands of ARS Wings in Djibouti and Eritrea. The problem in Somalia is deteriorating 7 days a week, while the leaders of the militias? loose control. The fighting in Somalia will be independent guerrilla war, where every fighter will kill whom that he sees as infidel. This is actually the beginning of recent era of fighting in Somalia, and Ethiopians and TGS will continue to be so long as there is no stability in the country.
USA described Sheikh Sharif as modern Islamists, and blacklisted Sheikh Aways as hardliner. Sheikh Aweys is wanted in USA
VI. TGS bridges the gap in Addis Ababa, why not in Mogadishu?
Two months ago, TGS President Abdullah Yusuf and Prime Minister Nur Adde visited Addis Ababa, Ethiopia to stay their differences. Djibouti Peace Agreement between Adde and Sheikh Sharif triggered the disagreement between Yusuf and Adde, because Yusuf did not want negotiation with the Islamists until they stop the fighting against Ethiopia and TGS.
Also, Sheikh Sharif, who signed the deal for ARS, and TGS Prime Minister Nur Adde are from same tribe "Hawiyo". Hawiyo are dominant of Mogadishu City and its particular suburbs. This elevated worries of TGS President Abdullah Yusuf that when Sharif and Adde sign the peace deal, they are going to win the support of Ethiopia and when so, TGS President will not be required anymore.
Mogadishu residents nicknamed Adde as peace-man. TGS President Abdullah Yusuf is from Majeerteen tribe of Darood Clan: a vintage foe of Hawiyo tribe.
The leaders of Somalia, Abdullah Yusuf and Nur Adde cannot settle their differences on Somali soul because of concern with Abdullah Yusuf from Hawiyo tribe and Nur Adde? s desire to establish peace in vicious Somalia.
Addis Ababa was trusted place to go for both leaders, because Ethiopian Prime Ministers Melese Sanawi may be the man in command in Somalia. He installed Abdullah Yusuf and Nur Addein in their current posts. Sanawi instructed both Yusuf and Adde to get rid of their differences in 24 hours else they will not go back Mogadishu, and Ethiopia will appoint another administrator to Somalia. Highly reliable sources said that Ethiopian Military Commander in Mogadishu General Gabre slapped the TGS President Abdullah Yusuf on the face.
Here is the very first time that Ethiopia runs the Somalia affairs; starting from 16th to 20th Century Ethiopia was in defense from attacking Somalia. In 1977, Somali Forces captured many parts of Ethiopia, and Addis Ababa asked Russia for help.
The unfortunate of Somalia started after collapse of Siyad Barre, and rise of General Mohammed Farah Aideed? nicknamed Lion of Africa? and Ali Mehdi. The civil war spread across the southern places until today.
V. NO "Puntland", NO Piracy in Somali Water:
The fake state of "Puntland" was established on 1998 by current ailing leader of TGS Abdullah Yusuf Ahmed. Their state was based on tribes and even describes its citizens on tribe bases. The tribalism ideology led "Puntland" to claim some parties of Somaliland.
In "Puntland", piracy, kidnapping and hijacking of ships is the better profession. The leaders of "Puntland" including Adde Mouse just take loin? s share in the revenues from the kidnapping the foreigners and hijacking the ships from international water. "Puntland" administration allows human trafficking to Yemen, where thousands of poor Ethiopians and Somalis carried in small wooden boat. The "Puntland" human traffickers charge from $50 to $100 per person. Human Rights accused "Puntland" for the illegal business.
For more information please read: http: //www. americanchronicle. com/articles/72198
French Forces in Djibouti used force release a the hijacked French ship and arrested about {6} pirates. All six pirates were very close relatives of TGS Leader Abdullah Yusuf and therefore are all from "Puntland".
In 2007, Somaliland Forces with support of individuals of Sool expelled the "Puntland" militia from eastern elements of Somaliland including Sool and Eastern Sanaag. The Laasanood city is extremely stabilized and well-run by local authority appointed by Somaliland government. The assistance restored in the city including motorhome water filters at the first time of the history of the city, even Somali governments did not provide motorhome water filters. Somaliland arrested tens of thousands of pirates in Sool region of Somaliland, who originated in "Puntland". To learn more read: http: //www. americanchronicle. com/articles/60246
Taking get a grip on of Lasaanood, by Somaliland Forces, triggered anger between supporters of "Puntland" who roar with revenge however they will fail from the well-trained soliders of Somaliland. You can find misled citizens of Laasaanood who support "Puntland" on tribe bases. They call Somaliland "The Secessionists" and "Isaaq-Land". They rely on tribalism instead of democracy. In Somaliland democracy and voting is backbone of the system in the united kingdom, where only elected ones often leads the united states.
However "Puntland" and misled citizens of Lasaanood, Somaliland support TGS Leaders Abdullah Yusuf and his Ethiopian backers in Mogadishu. The revenge killing of innocent citizens of Mogadishu is victory for people in "Puntland" and the misled citizens. They, blindly, support Abdullah and Ethiopians because they hate Hawiyo? the residents of Mogadishu? because of old bad feelings between them.
This reveals that "Puntland" supports Ethiopian occupation in Mogadishu because the man who invited the Ethiopians to occupy Somalia is from their tribe. At the same time, they oppose Somaliland after securing its borders because the Somaliland citizens in Sool and Eastern Sanaag share same tribe with Puntland. The questions lingering in my mind are:
1. Can tribe be described as a nation? NO, it can? t.
2. Laasaanood belongs to whom? It belongs to Somaliland
3. Who overtook the administration of Lasanood? It is Somaliland? the owner.
4. Mogadishu belongs to whom? It belongs to Somalis
{5}. Who captured Mogadishu? Ethiopians supported by "Puntland" tribesmen
The surprise is, "Puntland" is opposing Somaliland and supporting the Ethiopians by the name of tribe. "Puntland" says? We love Ethiopia because they support our tribesman Abdullah Yusuf? and? we hate Somaliland simply because they took our tribesmen away?? This is actually the ideology of "Puntland". It starts with tribalism and ends with tribalism. At the conclusion, Somaliland is Somali people but not Ethiopians.
Somalis support Somaliland as it protects its border integrity. In other hand, Somalis hate "Puntland" because they handed over the complete country to Ethiopians.
VI. Somaliland? A hostage for failed Somalia
Starting from 18th May 1991, Somaliland has made notable progress in building peace, security and constitutional democracy within its de facto borders. Hundreds of thousands of refugees and internally displaced people have returned home, tens of thousands of landmines have been removed and destroyed, and clan militias have been incorporated into unified police and military forces. UN, AU, IGAD, USA and The uk supported Somaliland peace process and supply aid to Somaliland government.
A multi-party political system and successive competitive elections have established Somaliland as a rarity in the Horn of Africa and the Muslim world. The African Union (AU) has to engage in preventive diplomacy now, laying the groundwork for resolution of the dispute before it becomes a confrontation where either side views violence while the only exit.
Unfortunately, Somaliland is waiting diplomatic recognition from international community to carry out business together. Somaliland cannot trade with outside world, Somaliland banks cannot exchange transactions with other banks, and certificates of Somaliland students are not accepted. They are results of diplomatic embargo.
IGAD and AU sent fact-finding mission to Somaliland on 2005, and report was very positive and also asked both organizations to consider the case of Somaliland. US Assistant Undersecretary for African Affairs Dr. Friazer visited Somaliland on 2007 and she was very happy with the progress produced in Somaliland.
Somaliland just isn't asking aid or loans to the international community, it only needs to do business with them. However the world is taking too long to reaction to freedom voice of Somaliland and its particular self determination.
Email: az. almutairi@yahoo. com
Sources: www. somalilandpatriots. com
Picture: TGS Leader Abdullah Yusuf - Butcher of Mogadishu.
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